Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 22.927353 26.544939 30.480198 35.070178 40.267605 45.960838 52.659718
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.218190 21.014321 26.758134 34.101597 43.194193 54.033073 67.876866
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.641758 17.919314 24.737301 34.095328 46.494809 62.236101 83.586063
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.357432 15.840861 23.389290 34.374892 49.755028 70.290160 99.497205
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.046045 13.218833 20.774313 32.379398 49.460376 73.322292 108.723531
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.076274 12.352068 20.451174 33.460696 53.411178 82.324961 126.702345
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.459275 11.906846 20.649614 35.259751 58.484482 93.233980 148.150308
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.437101 10.610627 19.305571 34.439037 59.392569 97.951085 160.700893
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.466317 9.230187 17.613709 32.803483 58.763536 100.151728 169.438698
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.243059 9.171331 18.160297 34.959784 64.468812 112.646246 195.039966
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.184039 9.411692 19.253129 38.152797 72.153512 128.818841 227.530149
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.757043 8.850508 18.794855 38.494983 74.910203 137.026591 247.496565
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.243135 8.056105 17.851498 37.951483 76.255799 143.312481 265.341857
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.742063 7.203813 16.688565 36.875730 76.573912 147.941653 280.891303
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.412188 6.674826 16.106661 36.861788 78.853960 156.170551 303.248243
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.153105 6.262238 15.708200 37.160063 81.735785 165.658816 328.436295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.757225 5.423580 14.241065 35.020082 79.560569 165.607891 336.281638
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.630958 5.263369 14.298204 36.179579 84.165367 178.629944 369.069257
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.560919 5.243597 14.683435 38.108208 90.525265 195.436452 409.971144
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.346902 4.767727 13.885110 37.228469 90.828241 200.391729 428.523583
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.122236 4.205683 12.777984 35.474824 89.042446 201.013109 438.641622
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.100576 4.272922 13.324371 37.786683 96.493834 220.876842 487.896347
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.121225 4.482379 14.279943 41.208124 106.721357 247.060195 551.156587